PGA Championship predictions, odds 2021: Jon Rahm, Jordan Spieth, Hideki Matsuyama picks from PGA insider


The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island is a golfer’s dream, and one player will realize one of his next week at the 2021 PGA Championship. The South Carolina course, featured in the film “The Legend of Bagger Vance,” is hosting the PGA Championship for the second time. Rory McIlroy won the first time around, shooting 13-under to win by a tournament-record eight strokes in 2012 for his second major title. Despite McIlroy’s success, the course is perennially rated as one of the most difficult in the United States and will challenge an elite group of 2021 PGA Championship golfers.

William Hill Sportsbook lists McIlroy, who notched his first victory in 18 months at last week’s Wells Fargo Championship, as the 10-1 favorite in its latest 2021 PGA Championship odds. Other players from the 2021 PGA Championship field expected to be in the mix include Dustin Johnson and Jon Rahm, both 12-1, and Bryson DeChambeau and Justin Thomas, both 14-1. Before you lock in any 2021 PGA Championship picks or PGA Tour predictions, you need to see who golf insider Sal Johnson is backing.

A media legend and consummate golf insider, Johnson has a strong feel for which players have the momentum and how their games fit the courses.

Before Hideki Matsuyama won the Masters three weeks ago, Johnson made special mention of Spieth, Schauffele and Will Zalatoris as golfers to watch. He listed Spieth and Schauffele in his top three contenders and had Zalatoris as his top rookie. Zalatoris nearly caught Matsuyama and finished as runner-up, while Spieth and Schauffele tied for third.

He also knows when surging players are poised for a breakthrough. He tabbed Sungjae Im as a top contender before his first Tour win at the Honda Classic last season, then touted Tyrrell Hatton before he got his first tour victory the following week. Anyone who has followed Johnson’s advice has cashed in huge.

Now Johnson, the first producer of “Inside the PGA Tour,” a longtime ABC Sports golf producer who worked with Jack Nicklaus, Arnold Palmer and Greg Norman, and the founder of the world’s top golf stats database, has released his highly confident 2021 PGA Championship picks, and they will surprise you.

Top 2021 PGA Championship expert picks

Shockingly, the golf expert is fading Jon Rahm, who is near the top of the PGA Championship odds 2021 and is playing arguably the best golf on tour. The problem is, he hasn’t been able to turn that strong play into victories. He has finished in the top 10 in nine of his past 12 events, but the 27-year-old hasn’t won on tour this season and has three wins in his career. Johnson isn’t sure if it is a lack of killer instinct or experience, but he isn’t listing him among his favorites to win.

On the other hand, Jordan Spieth has been on a tear, and Johnson knows the three-time major champ is gunning for his career grand slam. The former world No. 1 and 12-time tour winner hit a lengthy rough patch, but the one-time phenom is back at the top of his game. He won the Valero Texas Open last month and tied for third at the Masters the following week before taking time off. He is playing the AT&T Byron Nelson in his hometown of Dallas this week and is seeking his sixth top-five finish in his eighth full-field event since the end of January.

The golf expert also knows how much Hideki Matsuyama’s win at the Masters meant and expects him to carry momentum. He has 15 worldwide wins, six of them on the PGA Tour, and plays well in the majors. In addition to the Masters victory, he has six finishes of sixth or better in major championships, including a runner-up finish at the U.S. Open and a pair of top-fives at the PGA. He is 22nd in strokes gained tee-to-green and 27th on approach.

How to make 2021 PGA Championship predictions

This week, Johnson is touting a monumental long shot. This player has been playing consistently well and quietly was near the top of the leaderboard the last time the major was played at Kiawah Island. He could pull off a stunning victory in the PGA Championship 2021, and anyone who backs this underdog could cash in huge. You can only see who it is here.

Who wins the 2021 PGA Championship? Where do Jordan Spieth and Hideki Matsuyama finish? And which huge long-shot is a must-back? Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Sal Johnson’s full leaderboard, picks and analysis for the 2021 PGA Championship, all from the insider who has a strong feel for when these players are in line for a big weekend.

2021 PGA Championship field, odds, contenders

Rory McIlroy 10-1
Dustin Johnson 12-1
Jon Rahm 12-1
Justin Thomas 14-1
Bryson DeChambeau 14-1
Jordan Spieth 16-1
Xander Schaufele 16-1
Brooks Koepka 20-1
Collin Morikawa 22-1
Viktor Hovland 25-1
Hideki Matsuyama 25-1
Patrick Cantlay 28-1
Daniel Berger 33-1
Tyrrell Hatton 33-1
Webb Simpson 33-1
Patrick Reed 33-1
Tony Finau 33-1
Will Zalatoris 40-1
Justin Rose 40-1
Tommy Fleetwood 40-1
Cameron Smith 40-1
Scottie Scheffler 45-1
Louis Oosthuizen 50-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 50-1
Jason Day 50-1
Paul Casey 50-1
Abraham Ancer 50-1
Sung-Jae Im 60-1
Joaquin Niemann 60-1
Adam Scott 60-1
Gary Woodland 66-1
Shane Lowry 66-1
Sergio Garcia 66-1
Marc Leishman 66-1
Harris English 66-1
Corey Conners 66-1
Sam Burns 66-1
Brian Harman 80-1
Max Homa 80-1
Garrick Higgo 80-1
Lee Westwood 80-1
Bubba Watson 80-1
Si-Woo Kim 80-1
Francesco Molinari 90-1
Billy Horschel 100-1
Matt Wallace 100-1
Rickie Fowler 100-1
Matt Kuchar 100-1
Keegan Bradley 100-1
Cameron Champ 100-1
Robert Macintyre 125-1
Kevin Kisner 125-1
Branden Grace 125-1
Jason Kokrak 125-1
Martin Kaymer 125-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 125-1
Kevin Na 125-1
Matt Jones 125-1
Henrik Stenson 125-1
Ian Poulter 125-1
Brendon Todd 125-1
Phil Mickelson 125-1
Sebastian Munoz 150-1
Brandt Snedeker 150-1
Alex Noren 150-1
Bernd Wiesberger 150-1
Thomas Pieters 150-1
Stewart Cink 150-1
Victor Perez 150-1
Zach Johnson 150-1
John Catlin 150-1
Mackenzie Hughes 150-1
Danny Willett 150-1
Byeong Hun An 150-1
Rasmus Hojgaard 150-1
Dylan Frittelii 175-1
Rafa Cabrera Bello 175-1
Matthias Schwab 200-1
Thomas Detry 200-1
Ryan Palmer 200-1
Joel Dahmen 200-1
Hudson Swafford 200-1
Thorbjorn Olesen 200-1
Kevin Streelman 200-1
Padraig Harrington 200-1
Tom Lewis 200-1
Adam Hadwin 200-1
Erik van Rooyen 200-1
Chez Reavie 200-1
Carlos Ortiz 200-1
Lanto Griffin 200-1
Charles Howell 250-1
Jimmy Walker 250-1
Martin Laird 250-1
Andy Sullivan 250-1
Sam Horsfield 250-1
Jason Dufner 250-1
Graeme McDowell 250-1
Omar Uresti 300-1
Jim Herman 400-1
Brian Gay 400-1
Vijay Singh 500-1
Davis Love 500-1
Y.E. Yang 500-1
Rich Been 1000-1
Shaun Micheel 1000-1
John Daly 1000-1





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