PGA Championship predictions, odds 2021: Jon Rahm, Jordan Spieth, Brooks Koepka picks from PGA insider


Few courses in the world are as admired or feared as Kiawah Island Golf Resort’s Ocean Course. The Pete Dye design is a figure-eight layout, which allows it to have 10 oceanfront holes, the most of any course in North America. The coastal location also means intense winds, which is why Golf Digest labeled it the most difficult course in the country. Over 150 of the world’s top golfers will descend upon Kiawah Island for the 2021 PGA Championship, teeing off Thursday.

Rory McIlroy toppled this course nine years ago to win the 2012 PGA Championship and is the 11-1 favorite at William Hill Sportsbook. Defending champion Collin Morikawa is a 30-1 long shot in the latest 2021 PGA Championship odds, while other 2021 PGA Championship contenders include Justin Thomas (14-1) and Jordan Spieth (16-1). Before you lock in any 2021 PGA Championship picks or PGA Tour predictions, you need to see who golf insider Sal Johnson is backing.

A media legend and consummate golf insider, Johnson has a strong feel for which players have the momentum and how their games fit the courses.

Before Hideki Matsuyama won the Masters three weeks ago, Johnson made special mention of Spieth, Schauffele and Will Zalatoris as golfers to watch. He listed Spieth and Schauffele in his top three contenders and had Zalatoris as his top rookie. Zalatoris nearly caught Matsuyama and finished as runner-up, while Spieth and Schauffele tied for third.

He also knows when surging players are poised for a breakthrough. He tabbed Sungjae Im as a top contender before his first Tour win at the Honda Classic last season, then touted Tyrrell Hatton before he got his first tour victory the following week. Anyone who has followed Johnson’s advice has cashed in huge.

Now Johnson, the first producer of “Inside the PGA Tour,” a longtime ABC Sports golf producer who worked with Jack Nicklaus, Arnold Palmer and Greg Norman, and the founder of the world’s top golf stats database, has released his highly confident 2021 PGA Championship picks, and they will surprise you.

Top 2021 PGA Championship expert picks

Shockingly, the golf expert is fading Jon Rahm, who is near the top of the PGA Championship odds 2021 and is playing arguably the best golf on tour. The problem is, he hasn’t been able to turn that strong play into victories. He has finished in the top 10 in nine of his past 12 events, but the 27-year-old hasn’t won on tour this season and has three wins in his career. Johnson isn’t sure if it is a lack of killer instinct or experience, but he isn’t listing him among his favorites to win.

On the other hand, Johnson knows Spieth comes in with plenty of momentum. He faded on Sunday at the Byron Nelson, but still went 18 under par to finish ninth, his sixth top-10 in his last eight events. Last month, he won the Valero Texas Open and tied for third at the Masters. He is 12th on tour in strokes gained around the green, 21st on approach, and eighth in overall putting average.

Few golfers have the PGA Championship resume of Brooks Koepka, who went back-to-back in 2018 and 2019. He’s just the sixth golfer to win the tournament two years in a row, and those account for half of his major championship victories, all coming in the last four years. This year, Koepka resumed his winning form with a February victory at the Waste Management Open. He had a runner-up just two weeks later, but then suffered a knee injury that required surgery. Since returning to competition, Koepka missed the cut in his only two appearances, one of them being the Masters. He’ll enter the PGA Championship 2021 a dozen weeks removed from his last weekend round, but still ranks seventh on tour with 1.639 total strokes gained.

How to make 2021 PGA Championship predictions

This week, Johnson is touting a monumental long shot. This player has been playing consistently well and quietly was near the top of the leaderboard the last time the major was played at Kiawah Island. He could pull off a stunning victory in the PGA Championship 2021, and anyone who backs this underdog could cash in huge. You can only see who it is here.

Who wins the 2021 PGA Championship? Where do Jordan Spieth and Brooks Koepka finish? And which huge long-shot is a must-back? Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Sal Johnson’s full leaderboard, picks and analysis for the 2021 PGA Championship, all from the insider who has a strong feel for when these players are in line for a big weekend.

2021 PGA Championship field, odds, contenders

Rory McIlroy 11-1
Justin Thomas 14-1
Jon Rahm 14-1
Jordan Spieth 16-1
Bryson DeChambeau 16-1
Dustin Johnson 18-1
Xander Schauffele 22-1
Viktor Hovland 25-1
Daniel Berger 30-1
Collin Morikawa 30-1
Brooks Koepka 33-1
Hideki Matsuyama 33-1
Patrick Cantlay 35-1
Webb Simpson 35-1
Cameron Smith 35-1
Patrick Reed 35-1
Tony Finau 35-1
Scottie Scheffler 40-1
Sam Burns 40-1
Tyrrell Hatton 45-1
Will Zalatoris 50-1
Tommy Fleetwood 50-1
Paul Casey 50-1
Abraham Ancer 50-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 55-1
Sung-Jae Im 60-1
Joaquin Niemann 60-1
Louis Oosthuizen 60-1
Marc Leishman 60-1
Justin Rose 66-1
Shane Lowry 66-1
Sergio Garcia 66-1
Corey Conners 66-1
Adam Scott 70-1
Keegan Bradley 70-1
Brian Harman 80-1
Gary Woodland 80-1
Max Homa 80-1
Matt Wallace 80-1
Garrick Higgo 80-1
Jason Day 80-1
Si-Woo Kim 80-1
Charl Schwarzel 90-1
Bubba Watson 90-1
Robert Macintyre 100-1
Jason Kokrak 100-1
Lee Westwood 100-1
Harris English 100-1
Matt Kuchar 100-1
Billy Horschel 125-1
Rickie Fowler 125-1
Cameron Tringale 125-1
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 125-1
Cameron Champ 125-1
Charley Hoffman 150-1
Branden Grace 150-1
Russell Henley 150-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 150-1
Kevin Na 150-1
Alex Noren 150-1
Matt Jones 150-1
Stewart Cink 150-1
Ian Poulter 150-1
Emiliano Grillo 150-1
Aaron Wise 150-1
Ryan Palmer 175-1
Chris Kirk 175-1
Francesco Molinari 200-1
Kevin Kisner 200-1
Cameron Davis 200-1
Martin Kaymer 200-1
Sebastian Munoz 200-1
Thomas Pieters 200-1
Harold Varner 200-1
Kevin Streelman 200-1
Victor Perez 200-1
Zach Johnson 200-1
Brendon Todd 200-1
Phil Mickelson 200-1
Carlos Ortiz 200-1
Joel Dahmen 250-1
Dylan Frittelli 250-1
Bernd Wiesberger 250-1
Brendan Steele 250-1
Henrik Stenson 250-1
John Catlin 250-1
Danny Willett 250-1
Talor Gooch 250-1
Sam Horsfield 250-1
Dean Burmester 250-1
Erik Van Rooyen 250-1
Lanto Griffin 250-1
Denny McCarthy 300-1
Harry Higgs 300-1
Thomas Detry 300-1
Antoine Rozner 300-1
Maverick McNealy 300-1
Martin Laird 300-1
Steve Stricker 300-1
Andy Sullivan 300-1
Tom Lewis 300-1
Tom Hoge 300-1
Mackenzie Hughes 300-1
Byeong Hun An 300-1
Adam Hadwin 300-1
Rasmus Hojgaard 300-1
Jazz Janewattananond 350-1
Jim Herman 400-1
Kalle Samooja 400-1
J.T. Poston 400-1
Brandon Stone 400-1
Padraig Harrington 400-1
George Coetzee 400-1
Sami Valimaki 400-1
Kurt Kitayama 400-1
Aaron Rai 400-1
Jimmy Walker 500-1
Rikuya Hoshino 500-1
Peter Malnati 500-1
Robert Streb 500-1
Brian Gay 500-1
Adam Long 500-1
Chan Kim 500-1
Hudson Swafford 500-1
Daniel Van Tonder 500-1
Richy Werenski 500-1
Takumi Kanaya 500-1
Jason Scrivener 500-1
Chez Reavie 500-1
Lucas Herbert 500-1
Brett Walker 500-1
Jason Dufner 500-1
Vijay Singh 1000-1
Y.E. Yang 1000-1
John Daly 1000-1
Brad Marek 2000-1
Sonny Skinner 2000-1
Peter Ballo 2000-1
Patrick Rada 2000-1
Greg Koch 2000-1
Alex Beach 2000-1
Stuart Smith 2000-1
Danny Balin 2000-1
Rich Beem 2000-1
Mark Geddes 2000-1
Rob Labritz 2000-1
Frank Bensel 2000-1
Omar Uresti 2000-1
Ben Polland 2000-1
Larkin Gross 2000-1
Derek Holmes 2000-1
Ben Cook 2000-1
Tim Pearce 2000-1
Joe Summerhays 2000-1
Shaun Micheel 2000-1
Tyler Collet 2000-1





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