2021 Masters odds: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from advanced model that nailed six majors


The 2021 Masters begins on Thursday, April 8 at Augusta National Golf Club. Dustin Johnson won his first green jacket and second major championship last November amid the most dominant stretch of his career. In fact, Johnson has won four times since the PGA Tour restarted in late May and has turned in five other finishes of third place or better in just 13 starts. Should you include Johnson in your 2021 Masters bets, given the premium you’ll pay?

Johnson is the 6-1 favorite in the latest 2021 Masters odds from William Hill Sportsbook. However, there will be plenty of players looking to topple him in the 2021 Masters field, including Jon Rahm (10-1), Rory McIlroy (10-1), Brooks Koepka (11-1), Bryson DeChambeau (11-1) and Justin Thomas (11-1). Before locking in any 2021 Masters picks, be sure to see the 2021 Masters predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s prediction model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been on fire since the return of the PGA Tour in June. In fact, it’s up over $10,700 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

In the final standard PGA event of 2020, McClure nailed Viktor Hovland’s win at +2500 in his best bets. That was one of many huge calls he made last year. After nailing Sergio Garcia (+5500) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the Sanderson Farms Championship, McClure finished up over $6,200 yet again on his best bets. The model had him in the top-five from the start and McClure’s best bets included Garcia winning outright. Those who followed that advice saw a massive +5500 return. 

He also finished profitable at the U.S. Open, nailing two of his best bets, including a +1100 top-five bet on Matthew Wolff. McClure hit a top-five bet (+1200) on Doc Redman at the Wyndham Championship, finishing up over $700 on his best bets. Those are just some of his recent big returns. 

In all, the advanced computer model has also nailed a whopping six majors entering the weekend, including Patrick Reed’s Masters win in 2018. Anyone who has followed its golf picks has seen massive returns. 

Now that the 2021 Masters field is taking shape, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

The model’s top 2021 Masters predictions 

One huge shocker the model is calling for at the Masters 2021: Brooks Koepka, a four-time major champion and one of the top favorites, fails to crack the top 10. Koepka had a strong showing at the Masters last November, earning a seventh place finish at Augusta National. The 30-year-old also recorded his eighth career PGA Tour victory earlier this month at the Phoenix Open. However, Koepka missed the cut in three consecutive events before breaking through at TPC Scottsdale. 

Koepka’s inconsistent performances can be directly attributed to his inability to find the fairway off the tee. He currently ranks 184th in driving accuracy percentage (54.61), which doesn’t bode well for his chances to finish on top of the 2021 Masters leaderboard at Augusta National. He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the 2021 Masters field.

Another surprise: Patrick Reed, a 25-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 2018 Masters champion moved up to No. 10 in the Official World Golf Ranking with a win at the Farmers Insurance Open.

Reed won the 2020 WGC-Mexico Championship just before the coronavirus shutdown and has turned in eight top-10 finishes including the win at Torrey Pines since the restart. Reed has been putting masterfully, gaining 1.282 strokes per round on the greens during the 2020-21 PGA Tour season to rank second among all qualifying golfers. He boasts an all-around game that’s strong enough to climb the 2021 Masters leaderboard in a hurry.

How to make 2021 Masters picks

The model is targeting three other golfers with odds of 25-1 or higher to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big. You can only see them here.

So who will win the 2021 Masters Tournament? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2021 Masters leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed six golf majors and is up over $10,700 since the restart.

2021 Masters odds

Dustin Johnson 6-1
Jon Rahm 10-1
Rory McIlroy 10-1
Brooks Koepka 11-1
Bryson DeChambeau 11-1
Justin Thomas 11-1
Xander Schauffele 16-1
Patrick Reed 25-1
Jordan Spieth 25-1
Patrick Cantlay 25-1
Tyrrell Hatton 28-1
Collin Morikawa 30-1
Webb Simpson 33-1
Hideki Matsuyama 33-1
Tony Finau 33-1
Harris English 40-1
Paul Casey 40-1
Tiger Woods 40-1
Matthew Wolff 40-1
Jason Day 40-1
Sungjae Im 40-1
Bubba Watson 40-1
Daniel Berger 40-1
Viktor Hovland 40-1
Tommy Fleetwood 45-1
Justin Rose 50-1
Cameron Smith 50-1
Joaquin Niemann 50-1
Adam Scott 50-1
Scottie Scheffler 50-1
Louis Oosthuizen 60-1
Cameron Champ 66-1
Rickie Fowler 66-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 66-1
Shane Lowry 66-1
Sergio Garcia 66-1
Abraham Ancer 66-1
Will Zalatoris 66-1
Marc Leishman 80-1
Russell Henley 80-1
Francesco Molinari 80-1
Phil Mickelson 80-1
Jason Kokrak 80-1
Carlos Ortiz 80-1
Robert Macintyre 80-1
Si-Woo Kim 100-1
Lee Westwood 100-1
Gary Woodland 100-1
Dylan Frittelli 125-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 125-1
Corey Conners 125-1
Ian Poulter 125-1
Billy Horschel 125-1
Sebastian Munoz 125-1
Kevin Kisner 125-1
Matt Kuchar 125-1
Matt Wallace 125-1
Henrik Stenson 125-1
Danny Willett 125-1
Kevin Na 125-1
Zach Johnson 150-1
Erik van Rooyen 150-1
Ryan Palmer 150-1
Bernd Wiesberger 200-1
Hudson Swafford 200-1
Brendon Todd 200-1
Brandt Snedeker 200-1
Lanto Griffin 200-1
Mackenzie Hughes 200-1
C.T. Pan 200-1
Victor Perez 200-1





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