2020 Charles Schwab Challenge odds: Surprising PGA picks, predictions by top model that nailed six majors

Following nearly three months off due to the coronavirus pandemic, the PGA Tour is back in action starting on Thursday with the 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge. The iconic Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth is the site of this week’s tournament, the longest-running non-major at the same venue on the PGA Tour schedule. The top five players in the world will tee it up in the 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge field, including reigning FedEx Cup champ and World No. 1 Rory McIlroy.

McIlroy is currently 15-2 in the 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge odds, with Jon Rahm at 12-1 at William Hill. But with a star-studded field that includes 17 of the top 20 in the FedEx Cup standings, this week’s winner could come from nearly anywhere. Before locking in any 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge picks of your own or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like FanDuel and DraftKings, be sure to check out the predictions and projected leaderboard from the team at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s prediction model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has nailed two of the last three majors entering the weekend. It predicted Gary Woodland’s first career major championship at the U.S. Open even though he wasn’t the favorite entering the weekend. The result: Woodland held off a late charge from Brooks Koepka and won by three strokes. The model also called Koepka’s historic victory at the 2019 PGA Championship, predicting he’d hold his lead in the home stretch.

In all, their advanced computer model has nailed a whopping six majors entering the weekend. And already this season, the model called Justin Thomas (15-2) winning the CJ Cup, Rory McIlroy (11-2) taking down the WGC-HSBC Champions and Viktor Hovland (11-1) earning his first career PGA Tour victory at the Puerto Rico Open. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now that the Charles Schwab Challenge 2020 field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the full projected leaderboard.

The model’s top 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge predictions 

One huge shocker the model is calling for: Bryson DeChambeau, a five-time PGA Tour winner and one of the top Vegas favorites, stumbles and doesn’t even crack the top five.

DeChambeau is getting low Charles Schwab Challenge odds 2020 this week because he finished fifth or better in the final three PGA Tour events he played in prior to the hiatus. But he also finished 52nd at the Phoenix Open in February and started the 2019-20 PGA Tour season by missing the cut in a Military Tribute at The Greenbrier. 

DeChambeau struggled mightily at this event last May, firing back-to-back rounds of 72 and missing the cut. His 60.44 percent driving accuracy ranks 122nd on Tour this season, and that should put him in tough positions this weekend, making him one of the 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge favorites to avoid.

Another surprise: Brooks Koepka, a 28-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

Koepka’s 2019-20 season got off to a slow start, as he played just twice before an October knee injury that kept him from participating in the Presidents Cup. But Kopeka returned to the Tour in February and appeared to be working the rust off before play was halted.

The No. 3 player in the world, Koepka has four major championships and seven PGA Tour victories on his resume. Koepka also has an impressive history at Colonial, as back-to-back rounds of 63 him a solo second behind Justin Rose in 2017. A championship-caliber player any time he is in the field, the model views Koepka as a major threat to climb the 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge leaderboard.

How to make 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge picks

Also, the model says four other golfers with odds of 28-1 or longer will make a strong run at the title, including a massive long shot who’s higher than 40-1. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big. You can only see them here.

So who wins the 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and visit SportsLine now to see the projected 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed six golf majors, and find out.

2020 Charles Schwab Challenge odds

Rory McIlroy 15-2
Jon Rahm 12-1
Justin Thomas 16-1
Bryson DeChambeau 22-1
Webb Simpson 22-1
Patrick Reed 28-1
Dustin Johnson 28-1
Brooks Koepka 28-1

Xander Schauffele 28-1
Rickie Fowler 33-1
Sungjae Im 33-1
Tony Finau 40-1
Marc Leishman 40-1
Matt Kucher 45-1
Collin Morikawa 45-1
Justin Rose 45-1
Scottie Scheffler 45-1
Jordan Speith 45-1
Shane Lowry 50-1
Gary Woodland 50-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 50-1
Kevin Na 50-1
Jason Day 55-1
Viktor Hovland 55-1
Sergio Garcia 55-1

Louis Oosthuzen 55-1
Daniel Berger 60-1
Joaquin Niemann 66-1
Billy Horschel 66-1
Byeong Hun An 66-1
Joey Dahmen 70-1
Ryan Palmer 70-1
Kevin Kisner 70-1
Max Homa 70-1
Abraham Ancer 70-1
Harris English 70-1

Christiaan Bezuidenhout 80-1
Maverick McNealy 100-1
Adam Hadwin 100-1
Jason Kokrak 125-1
Bubba Watson 125-1
Matthew Wolff 125-1
Corey Conners 125-1
Brendan Steeler 125-1
Ian Poulter 125-1
Chez Reavie 125-1
Sebastian Munoz 125-1
Danny Willett 125-1
Rory Sabbatini 125-1
Ryan Moore 125-1
Phil Mickelson 125-1
Danny Lee 125-1
Russell Knox 125-1
Cameron Smith 125-1
Rafa Cabrera Bello 150-1
J.T. Poston 150-1
Brendon Todd 150-1
Andrew Putnam 150-1
Zach Johnson 150-1
Branden Grace 150-1
Tom Hoge 150-1
Jason Dufner 150-1
Graeme McDowell 150-1
Matthew NeSmith 150-1
Erik van Rooyen 150-1
Emiliano Grillo 150-1
Victor Perez 150-1
Kevin Streelman 150-1
Talor Gooch 150-1
Charley Hoffman 150-1
Harold Varner 150-1
Brian Harman 150-1
Keegan Bradley 150-1
Sung Kang 150-1
Jimmy Walker 150-1
Scott Piercy 150-1
Harry Higgs 150-1
Charles Howell 150-1
Jim Furyk 150-1
Lanto Griffin 150-1
Alex Noren 150-1
Patrick Rodgers 150-1
Kevin Tway 200-1
Cameron Davis 200-1
Nate Lashley 200-1
Tom Lewis 200-1
Keith Mitchell 200-1
Si Woo Kim 200-1
Denny McCarthy 200-1
Beau Hossler 200-1
Nick Watney 200-1
Vaughn Taylor 200-1
Jhonattan Vegas 200-1
Bud Cauley 200-1
Jazz Janewattananond 200-1
Cameron Champ 200-1
C.T. Pan 200-1
Adam Long 200-1
Mackenzie Hughes 200-1
Chris Kirk 200-1
Wyndham Clark 200-1
Dylan Frittelli 200-1
Carlos Ortiz 200-1
Lucas Glover 200-1
Matt Wallace 200-1
Andrew Landry 250-1
Matt Jones 250-1
Robby Shelton 250-1
Brice Garnett 250-1
Mark Hubbard 250-1
Sam Ryder 250-1
Pat Perez 250-1
Kramer Hickok 300-1
Bronson Burgoon 300-1
Steve Stricker 300-1
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 300-1
Andy Ogletree 300-1
Troy Merritt 300-1
Peter Uihlein 300-1
Sepp Straka 350-1
Xinjun Zhang 350-1
Zac Blair 350-1
Tyler Duncan 350-1
Chesson Hadley 350-1
Doc Redman 350-1
Bill Haas 350-1
Richy Werenski 350-1
Henrik Norlander 350-1
Brian Gay 400-1
Andam Schenk 400-1
Jim Herman 500-1
Doug Ghim 500-1
Scott Brown 500-1
Josh Teater 500-1
Brin Stuard 500-1
Tyler McCumber 500-1
Patton Kizzire 500-1
Bernhard Langer 500-1
Chad Champbell 500-1
Scott Harrison 500-1
J.J. Henry 750-1
John Senden 750-1
Franklin Corpening 1000-1
Keith Clearwater 1000-1
Olin Browne 1000-1
Scott McCarron 1000-1
David Frost 1000-1
Tom Lehman 1000-1

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